"Reports may suggest that the share of Russian office applications will increase by 2030,

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"Thus," says the expert, "in the medium term, office employees of companies related to critical information infrastructure (CII) will use various versions of Russian operating systems based on Linux distributions. Office software packages running on different platforms - Windows, Linux, MacOS - will be in little demand in such a scenario. Achieving an 80% share for deliveries of Russian operating systems to companies related to CII facilities is quite realistic. But this will not contribute to the delivery of MyOffice or R7 Office, rather the opposite. Why pay separately for an office software package uruguay whatsapp number database if such a package is already included in the operating system delivery set? Foreign office packages from friendly countries, such as WPS Office, also have no advantages over Open Source. The developers of these packages also prioritized multiplatformity, which, for well-known reasons, has become irrelevant for Russia. As a result, it turns out that the efforts and time of the developers of such solutions were wasted."

but for this to happen, significant shifts or events similar to those that led to changes in the past must occur. Without such shifts, the changes will be evolutionary rather than revolutionary," said Vitaly Popov, Director of the Infrastructure Solutions Department at Softline, commenting on this forecast.

Pavel Kalyakin believes that the main threat to the Russian IT industry is the use of unlicensed software: "It is important for all of us - both the government and corporate segments - to remember that if the market does not go down the path of piracy, then economic growth in the Russian IT industry can be expected in the next two to three years. And the use of pirated software can completely stop the development of the Russian IT market. The continued use of foreign software by Russian companies will obviously contribute to the halt of their business processes and the undermining of the stability of the Russian IT infrastructure."

Analysts at J'son & Partners Consulting have slightly reduced the average annual growth rates compared to the initial version of the forecast. They argued that this is due to a decrease in the rate of import substitution due to an underestimation of the complexity and duration of such projects, as well as the fact that Russia still has the opportunity to purchase foreign products.

Vitaly Popov also noted that a new product is always associated with stress for the user, which can paralyze work, and the transition to a new platform is always accompanied by difficulties and the need to adapt to new functions and interface: "For many users, such a step is associated with the transition from outdated versions to more modern ones, which in itself can cause resistance. For example, many organizations did not update office software until the file formats changed, forcing them to adapt to new standards. And many current products work stably and efficiently, and companies have acquired licenses for them, which makes their use legal from a licensing point of view. This creates a certain inertial effect, which complicates the transition to new solutions. It is also worth remembering that there are features available only in current solutions that may not be available in alternative office suites. For example, some organizations rely on the use of macros written in specific programming languages, which makes the transition to other solutions difficult or even impossible."

The turning point, according to the authors of the study, will be 2024-2025, which is when the three-year licenses that Russian companies managed to acquire before vendors left the Russian market will expire. The purchase of such products through parallel import channels leads to significant business risks. Among other factors that, according to analysts, will increase the attractiveness of Russian software, they also named the active policy of the Ministry of Digital Development and other regulators, the increased attractiveness of Russian products, support for vendors and customers, and increased data storage requirements.